Queen's Park Observer

Queen's Park Observer

Ford is underwater. Liberals are in limbo.

And 1 a.m. arbitration

Sabrina Nanji's avatar
Sabrina Nanji
May 22, 2026
∙ Paid

POLL WATCH: FORD’S SLIDE STARTS TO STICK

For the second time in a row, a Liaison Strategies survey suggests DOUG FORD’s PCs are no longer comfortably ahead of the JOHN FRASER-led Liberals — they’re in a dead heat.

Fresh polling out this morning puts the PCs and Grits at 37 per cent apiece among decided and leaning voters, with MARIT STILES’s NDP at 20 per cent and MIKE SCHREINER’s Greens at four cent.

It’s the second from Liaison that showed the Liberals tracking slightly ahead of the ruling Tories (though the difference was within the margin of error).

It’s notable because, like other pollsters, the numbers suggest the Premier’s private jet reversal and hot-potato FOI changes have been dragging on his popularity — and this may be a trend rather than a one-off.

By the numbers: Ford’s approval sits at 28 per cent, with 67 per cent disapproving. Nearly two-thirds of respondents — 64 per cent — say Ontario is heading in the wrong direction. And the ballot question, at least in this poll, hi…

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