Queen's Park Observer

Queen's Park Observer

The PCs shrinking lead

Omnibus incoming

Sabrina Nanji's avatar
Sabrina Nanji
Oct 20, 2026
∙ Paid

FORD’S SUMMER GLOW-UP FADES

POLL WATCH — One week out from the Legislature’s return and Ontarians aren’t as happy with Premier DOUG FORD. But when it comes to alternatives for the province’s top job, things are complicated.

That’s the upshot from the fresh Abacus Data polling that puts the PCs at 40 per cent support among committed voters — down two points from the summer — with the Liberals up one point, to 32 per cent, and the NDP up three points, at 20 per cent. The Greens are holding steady at four per cent.

Between the lines: The horse race suggests the Tories lead over the leaderless Grits has whittled down from 11 points to eight, effectively wiping out the ruling party’s summer rebound. But it’s the New Democrats who have gained the most ground.

Change election, anyone? Seven in 10 Ontarians want at least some change in government — the marker that pollsters were watching closely ahead of the Liberals downfall in 2018. Just 19 per cent say Ford and the PCs definitely deserve ano…

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